Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.006760 0.007564 0.008440 0.009468 0.010644 0.011953 0.013522
2025-03-16 0.005259 0.006299 0.007527 0.009092 0.011050 0.013435 0.016589
2025-03-23 0.004545 0.005693 0.007121 0.009048 0.011609 0.014937 0.019658
2025-03-30 0.004212 0.005476 0.007120 0.009446 0.012705 0.017188 0.023960
2025-04-06 0.003719 0.004977 0.006670 0.009159 0.012795 0.018032 0.026364
2025-04-13 0.003334 0.004575 0.006296 0.008911 0.012878 0.018832 0.028764
2025-04-20 0.003080 0.004327 0.006105 0.008892 0.013274 0.020118 0.032073
2025-04-27 0.002948 0.004236 0.006126 0.009181 0.014161 0.022259 0.037092
2025-05-04 0.002751 0.004031 0.005953 0.009145 0.014511 0.023550 0.040815
2025-05-11 0.002600 0.003880 0.005847 0.009198 0.015004 0.025130 0.045291
2025-05-18 0.002432 0.003689 0.005659 0.009095 0.015209 0.026211 0.048969
2025-05-25 0.002328 0.003591 0.005610 0.009215 0.015816 0.028090 0.054524
2025-06-01 0.002187 0.003428 0.005451 0.009147 0.016103 0.029462 0.059410
2025-06-08 0.002005 0.003184 0.005141 0.008784 0.015803 0.029664 0.061840
2025-06-15 0.001895 0.003056 0.005014 0.008742 0.016111 0.031122 0.067371
2025-06-22 0.001864 0.003056 0.005112 0.009125 0.017303 0.034589 0.078358
2025-06-29 0.001735 0.002878 0.004878 0.008848 0.017114 0.035040 0.081970
2025-07-06 0.001624 0.002723 0.004673 0.008610 0.016978 0.035588 0.085943
2025-07-13 0.001551 0.002633 0.004583 0.008592 0.017310 0.037255 0.093281
2025-07-20 0.001523 0.002622 0.004637 0.008870 0.018327 0.040696 0.106394
2025-07-27 0.001457 0.002537 0.004544 0.008835 0.018629 0.042430 0.114938
2025-08-03 0.001406 0.002476 0.004495 0.008886 0.019136 0.044761 0.125889
2025-08-10 0.001342 0.002386 0.004381 0.008787 0.019271 0.046135 0.134126